Argentina vs Algeria
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-16
Argentina
70%
Win
Draw
17%
Draw
Algeria
12%
Win
Market implied: Argentina 68% · Draw 21% · Algeria 11% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Argentina at 2168 Elo and Algeria at 1938. That 230-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a clear edge to Argentina.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Argentina WWWWW
Wat Angola2-0Nov 2025
Wvs Mauritania2-1Mar 2026
Wvs Zambia5-0Mar 2026
Wvs Honduras2-0Jun 2026
Wvs Iceland3-0Jun 2026
Algeria LWDWW
Lvs Nigeria0-2Jan 2026
Wvs Guatemala7-0Mar 2026
Dvs Uruguay0-0Mar 2026
Wat Netherlands1-0Jun 2026
Wat Bolivia4-0Jun 2026
Head to head (recent)
Jun 2007Algeria 3-4 Argentina
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.