Brazil vs Haiti
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-19
Brazil
86%
Win
Draw
10%
Draw
Haiti
4%
Win
Market implied: Brazil 87% · Draw 9% · Haiti 4% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Brazil at 2098 Elo and Haiti at 1677. That 421-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a clear edge to Brazil.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Brazil LWWWD
Lvs France1-2Mar 2026
Wvs Croatia3-1Mar 2026
Wvs Panama6-2May 2026
Wvs Egypt2-1Jun 2026
Dvs Morocco1-1Jun 2026
Haiti LDWLL
Lvs Tunisia0-1Mar 2026
Dvs Iceland1-1Mar 2026
Wvs New Zealand4-0Jun 2026
Lvs Peru1-2Jun 2026
Lvs Scotland0-1Jun 2026
Head to head (recent)
Apr 1974Brazil 4-0 Haiti
Aug 2004Haiti 0-6 Brazil
Jun 2016Brazil 7-1 Haiti
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.