Canada vs Switzerland
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-24 · host nation
Canada
34%
Win
Draw
30%
Draw
Switzerland
36%
Win
Market implied: Canada 27% · Draw 29% · Switzerland 45% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Canada at 1927 Elo and Switzerland at 1955. That 28-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a near-even matchup.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Canada DDWDD
Dvs Iceland2-2Mar 2026
Dvs Tunisia0-0Mar 2026
Wvs Uzbekistan2-0Jun 2026
Dvs Republic of Ireland1-1Jun 2026
Dvs Bosnia and Herzegovina1-1Jun 2026
Switzerland LDWDD
Lvs Germany3-4Mar 2026
Dat Norway0-0Mar 2026
Wvs Jordan4-1May 2026
Dat Australia1-1Jun 2026
Dat Qatar1-1Jun 2026
Head to head (recent)
May 2002Switzerland 1-3 Canada
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.