Czech Republic vs South Africa
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-18
Czech Republic
49%
Win
Draw
26%
Draw
South Africa
26%
Win
Market implied: Czech Republic 54% · Draw 25% · South Africa 20% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Czech Republic at 1743 Elo and South Africa at 1706. That 37-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a near-even matchup.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Czech Republic DDWWL
Dvs Republic of Ireland2-2Mar 2026
Dvs Denmark2-2Mar 2026
Wvs Kosovo2-1May 2026
Wat Guatemala5-1Jun 2026
Lat South Korea1-2Jun 2026
South Africa DLDWL
Dvs Panama1-1Mar 2026
Lvs Panama1-2Mar 2026
Dvs Nicaragua0-0May 2026
Wat Jamaica1-0Jun 2026
Lat Mexico0-2Jun 2026
Head to head (recent)
Dec 1997South Africa 2-2 Czech Republic
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.