Ecuador vs Curaçao
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-20
Ecuador
83%
Win
Draw
12%
Draw
Curaçao
6%
Win
Market implied: Ecuador 87% · Draw 9% · Curaçao 4% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Ecuador at 1914 Elo and Curaçao at 1594. That 321-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a clear edge to Ecuador.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Ecuador DDWWL
Dat Morocco1-1Mar 2026
Dat Netherlands1-1Mar 2026
Wvs Saudi Arabia2-1May 2026
Wvs Guatemala3-0Jun 2026
Lat Ivory Coast0-1Jun 2026
Curaçao LLLWL
Lat China0-2Mar 2026
Lat Australia1-5Mar 2026
Lat Scotland1-4May 2026
Wvs Aruba4-0Jun 2026
Lat Germany1-7Jun 2026
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.