Germany vs Ivory Coast
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-20
Germany
60%
Win
Draw
21%
Draw
Ivory Coast
19%
Win
Market implied: Germany 62% · Draw 22% · Ivory Coast 16% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Germany at 2012 Elo and Ivory Coast at 1907. That 105-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a modest edge to Germany.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Germany WWWWW
Wat Switzerland4-3Mar 2026
Wvs Ghana2-1Mar 2026
Wvs Finland4-0May 2026
Wat United States2-1Jun 2026
Wvs Curaçao7-1Jun 2026
Ivory Coast LWWWW
Lat Egypt2-3Jan 2026
Wvs South Korea4-0Mar 2026
Wvs Scotland1-0Mar 2026
Wat France2-1Jun 2026
Wvs Ecuador1-0Jun 2026
Head to head (recent)
Nov 2009Germany 2-2 Ivory Coast
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.