New Zealand vs Egypt
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-21
New Zealand
22%
Win
Draw
23%
Draw
Egypt
55%
Win
Market implied: New Zealand 18% · Draw 24% · Egypt 57% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates New Zealand at 1710 Elo and Egypt at 1857. That 146-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a modest edge to Egypt.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
New Zealand LLWLL
Lat Ecuador0-2Nov 2025
Lvs Finland0-2Mar 2026
Wvs Chile4-1Mar 2026
Lat Haiti0-4Jun 2026
Lat England0-1Jun 2026
Egypt DWDWL
Dvs Nigeria0-0Jan 2026
Wat Saudi Arabia4-0Mar 2026
Dat Spain0-0Mar 2026
Wvs Russia1-0May 2026
Lat Brazil1-2Jun 2026
Head to head (recent)
Jul 1999Egypt 1-1 New Zealand
Jul 1999Egypt 1-0 New Zealand
Mar 2024Egypt 1-0 New Zealand
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.