Panama vs Croatia
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-23
Panama
19%
Win
Draw
22%
Draw
Croatia
59%
Win
Market implied: Panama 15% · Draw 24% · Croatia 61% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Panama at 1884 Elo and Croatia at 1962. That 78-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a modest edge to Croatia.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Panama DWLWD
Dat South Africa1-1Mar 2026
Wat South Africa2-1Mar 2026
Lat Brazil2-6May 2026
Wvs Dominican Republic4-2Jun 2026
Dvs Bosnia and Herzegovina1-1Jun 2026
Croatia WWLLW
Wat Montenegro3-2Nov 2025
Wat Colombia2-1Mar 2026
Lat Brazil1-3Mar 2026
Lvs Belgium0-2Jun 2026
Wvs Slovenia2-1Jun 2026
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.