Panama vs England
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-27
Panama
13%
Win
Draw
18%
Draw
England
70%
Win
Market implied: Panama 9% · Draw 16% · England 74% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Panama at 1884 Elo and England at 2088. That 204-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a clear edge to England.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Panama DWLWD
Dat South Africa1-1Mar 2026
Wat South Africa2-1Mar 2026
Lat Brazil2-6May 2026
Wvs Dominican Republic4-2Jun 2026
Dvs Bosnia and Herzegovina1-1Jun 2026
England WDLWW
Wat Albania2-0Nov 2025
Dvs Uruguay1-1Mar 2026
Lvs Japan0-1Mar 2026
Wvs New Zealand1-0Jun 2026
Wvs Costa Rica3-0Jun 2026
Head to head (recent)
Jun 2018England 6-1 Panama
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.