Portugal vs Uzbekistan
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-23
Portugal
70%
Win
Draw
17%
Draw
Uzbekistan
12%
Win
Market implied: Portugal 76% · Draw 16% · Uzbekistan 8% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Portugal at 2035 Elo and Uzbekistan at 1831. That 204-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a clear edge to Portugal.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Portugal WDWWW
Wvs Armenia9-1Nov 2025
Dat Mexico0-0Mar 2026
Wat United States2-0Mar 2026
Wvs Chile2-1Jun 2026
Wvs Nigeria2-1Jun 2026
Uzbekistan DWDLL
Dvs China2-2Jan 2026
Wvs Gabon3-1Mar 2026
Dvs Venezuela0-0Mar 2026
Lat Canada0-2Jun 2026
Lat Netherlands1-2Jun 2026
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.