Scotland vs Morocco
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-19
Scotland
18%
Win
Draw
21%
Draw
Morocco
62%
Win
Market implied: Scotland 18% · Draw 26% · Morocco 55% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Scotland at 1813 Elo and Morocco at 2061. That 248-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a clear edge to Morocco.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Scotland LLWWW
Lvs Japan0-1Mar 2026
Lat Ivory Coast0-1Mar 2026
Wvs Curaçao4-1May 2026
Wat Bolivia4-0Jun 2026
Wat Haiti1-0Jun 2026
Morocco WWWDD
Wvs Paraguay2-1Mar 2026
Wvs Burundi5-0May 2026
Wvs Madagascar4-0Jun 2026
Dvs Norway1-1Jun 2026
Dat Brazil1-1Jun 2026
Head to head (recent)
Jun 1998Scotland 0-3 Morocco
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.