Senegal vs Iraq
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-26
Senegal
66%
Win
Draw
19%
Draw
Iraq
15%
Win
Market implied: Senegal 67% · Draw 21% · Iraq 12% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Senegal at 1964 Elo and Iraq at 1728. That 236-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a clear edge to Senegal.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Senegal LWWLD
Lat Morocco0-3Jan 2026
Wvs Peru2-0Mar 2026
Wvs Gambia3-1Mar 2026
Lat United States2-3May 2026
Dat Saudi Arabia0-0Jun 2026
Iraq LWWDL
Lat Jordan0-1Dec 2025
Wvs Bolivia2-1Mar 2026
Wat Andorra1-0May 2026
Dat Spain1-1Jun 2026
Lvs Venezuela0-2Jun 2026
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.