Turkey vs Paraguay
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-19
Turkey
46%
Win
Draw
26%
Draw
Paraguay
27%
Win
Market implied: Turkey 47% · Draw 28% · Paraguay 25% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Turkey at 1876 Elo and Paraguay at 1767. That 109-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a modest edge to Turkey.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Turkey WWWWL
Wvs Romania1-0Mar 2026
Wat Kosovo1-0Mar 2026
Wvs North Macedonia4-0Jun 2026
Wat Venezuela2-1Jun 2026
Lat Australia0-2Jun 2026
Paraguay WWLWL
Wat Mexico2-1Nov 2025
Wat Greece1-0Mar 2026
Lat Morocco1-2Mar 2026
Wvs Nicaragua4-0Jun 2026
Lat United States1-4Jun 2026
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.