United States vs Australia
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-19 · host nation
United States
40%
Win
Draw
29%
Draw
Australia
31%
Win
Market line not yet posted for this match.
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates United States at 1892 Elo and Australia at 1971. That 79-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a modest edge to Australia.
Recent form
United States LLWLW
Lvs Belgium2-5Mar 2026
Lvs Portugal0-2Mar 2026
Wvs Senegal3-2May 2026
Lvs Germany1-2Jun 2026
Wvs Paraguay4-1Jun 2026
Australia WWLDW
Wvs Cameroon1-0Mar 2026
Wvs Curaçao5-1Mar 2026
Lat Mexico0-1May 2026
Dvs Switzerland1-1Jun 2026
Wvs Turkey2-0Jun 2026
Head to head (recent)
Jun 1992United States 0-1 Australia
Nov 1998United States 0-0 Australia
Jun 2010Australia 1-3 United States
Oct 2025United States 2-1 Australia
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.