United States vs Turkey
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-25 · host nation
United States
41%
Win
Draw
29%
Draw
Turkey
30%
Win
Market line not yet posted for this match.
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates United States at 1892 Elo and Turkey at 1876. That 16-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a near-even matchup.
Recent form
United States LLWLW
Lvs Belgium2-5Mar 2026
Lvs Portugal0-2Mar 2026
Wvs Senegal3-2May 2026
Lvs Germany1-2Jun 2026
Wvs Paraguay4-1Jun 2026
Turkey WWWWL
Wvs Romania1-0Mar 2026
Wat Kosovo1-0Mar 2026
Wvs North Macedonia4-0Jun 2026
Wat Venezuela2-1Jun 2026
Lat Australia0-2Jun 2026
Head to head (recent)
Sep 1991Turkey 1-1 United States
Jun 2003Turkey 2-1 United States
May 2010United States 2-1 Turkey
Jun 2014United States 2-1 Turkey
Jun 2025United States 1-2 Turkey
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.