Uzbekistan vs Colombia
World Cup 2026 · 2026-06-17
Uzbekistan
11%
Win
Draw
16%
Draw
Colombia
74%
Win
Market implied: Uzbekistan 11% · Draw 20% · Colombia 69% | our model vs the line, graded in public
Why our model leans this way
Our model rates Uzbekistan at 1831 Elo and Colombia at 2054. That 222-point gap is the foundation of the prediction — a clear edge to Colombia.
Our model and the betting market are broadly in agreement on this match — our probabilities track the market closely, which is what a well-calibrated model should do on a clear matchup.
Recent form
Uzbekistan DWDLL
Dvs China2-2Jan 2026
Wvs Gabon3-1Mar 2026
Dvs Venezuela0-0Mar 2026
Lat Canada0-2Jun 2026
Lat Netherlands1-2Jun 2026
Colombia WLLWW
Wvs Australia3-0Nov 2025
Lvs Croatia1-2Mar 2026
Lvs France1-3Mar 2026
Wvs Costa Rica3-1Jun 2026
Wat Jordan2-0Jun 2026
Head to head
No recent meetings on record.
How to read this: these are calibrated probability estimates from a
ratings model, not a claim to beat the bookmakers and not betting advice. The model does not account for confirmed
lineups, injuries, or qualification scenarios. Every prediction is published before kickoff and graded on our
open ledger. If gambling is causing problems, call 1-800-GAMBLER.